2.15 Rating From VINI and 87% Major Odds: How Imperial Esports Swept paiN to Win Circuit X Curitiba on Counter-Strike 2

On paper, Circuit X Curitiba Season 4 featured a modest $15,000 prize pool, but in practice, it served as one of the most consequential regional battlegrounds of the South American season. Contested on LAN in Curitiba, Brazil, from October 21 to 25, 2026, the tournament concluded Sunday night with Imperial Esports sweeping paiN Gaming (2-0) in the grand final. By claiming the $8,400 first-place prize and a vital haul of Valve Regional Standings (VRS) points ahead of the November 2 invitation cutoff, the Brazilian squad led by Vinicius "VINI" Figueiredo saw their projected odds of qualifying for the PGL Major Singapore surge from 54% to 87%.
VINI Drops a 2.15 Rating on Anubis to Power a 2-0 Grand Final Sweep
Meeting domestic rivals paiN Gaming for a second time in the tournament during Sunday's championship decider carried massive stakes for Imperial Esports. Yet the title match stayed firmly under the control of Imperial's rebuilt five-man core featuring Vinicius "VINI" Figueiredo, Marcelo "chelo" Cespedes, Lucas "decenty" Bacelar, Kaiky "noway" Santos, and AWPer Guilherme "saadzin" Pacheco alongside head coach Marcos "tacitus" Castilho.
From the opening pistol rounds on Anubis, in-game leader VINI, the sole remaining member from the original Last Dance project assembled in February 2022, delivered a masterclass. Posting a remarkable 2.15 individual rating on the opening map to secure a 13-7 victory, he immediately shut down any momentum from the roster led by Rodrigo "biguzera" Bittencourt.
Map two on Cache showcased Imperial's structural discipline across both halves. Leaning on coordinated mid-round trading and composed late-round retakes, the team closed out the series 13-9, with VINI finishing the two-map grand final at 43 kills and 24 deaths (43-24). While top international contenders battle in Europe at PGL Masters Bucharest 2026, Imperial made full use of home soil to cement their regional standing.
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Playoff Revenge Over BESTIA and Back-to-Back Wins Against paiN Gaming
Imperial's championship run was all the more impressive given their shaky start in the group stage, where Argentina's BESTIA handed them a 0-2 defeat (7-13 on both Dust2 and Mirage in a series where chelo struggled at 11-32). Entering the double-elimination playoff bracket, Imperial completely flipped the script against the two teams chasing them hardest in the regional standings:
- Upper Bracket Semifinal vs. paiN Gaming (2-1 Win): On Friday, October 23, Imperial opened playoffs with a dominant 13-3 win on Inferno before dropping Anubis in overtime (14-16 after leading 10-7). They bounced right back on the Mirage decider (13-9), anchored by decenty (1.17 rating and 80.9% KAST) and VINI (84.3 ADR).
- Upper Bracket Final vs. BESTIA (2-0 Win): Saturday night brought a high-pressure rematch against the Argentinian side. After edging out Nuke 13-10 following a 7-5 halftime lead, Imperial erased a 5-7 first-half deficit on BESTIA's map pick of Dust2, sweeping overtime 4-0 to take the map 16-12. Completely rebounding from his group-stage outing, chelo dominated the CT half on Dust2 and tied decenty for the server lead with 38 kills apiece.
- Lower Bracket Final & Grand Final Rematch: After sweeping Galorys 2-0 on Saturday, paiN Gaming eliminated BESTIA 2-1 in Sunday's lower bracket final (leaving the Argentinians in third place with $2,100), only to fall 0-2 against Imperial in the title bout hours later.

Valve VRS Impact: Americas Major Race Tightens Ahead of the November 2 Cutoff
Every map played in Curitiba was magnified by the intense final VRS grind before the CS2 Major. Out of the nine Americas spots allocated for the PGL Major Singapore, six invitations are already locked in by the region's top squads, leaving just three open slots to be decided before Valve freezes the Valve Regional Standings on November 2, 2026.
By defeating both of their direct regional rivals on LAN, Imperial Esports climbed to 40th place in the global VRS table and solidified their hold inside the top nine of the Americas standings. Mathematical invite projections now place Imperial at an 86.6% (rounded to 87%) probability of receiving a Major invitation, up from 54% a week ago and 79.2% entering Sunday's grand final.
Conversely, the Curitiba results dealt a heavy blow to their domestic and regional competitors. A group-stage exit dropped Fluxo down to a 2% projection, while third-place finishers BESTIA slipped to 4% heading into the FiRe Last Chance LAN starting October 29. Meanwhile, runners-up paiN Gaming sit at a 23% chance and now face a must-win campaign at Gamers Club Masters VII (beginning October 29) to keep their Singapore hopes alive.
My Take
What stood out to me most in Curitiba was Imperial's mental reset after getting swept 0-2 by BESTIA in the group stage. Under Valve's VRS system, late-season regional LANs turn into high-stakes survival gauntlets where head-to-head wins against direct bubble rivals carry double weight. Watching VINI, the last link to the 2022 Last Dance lineup, take over Anubis with a 2.15 rating in the grand final while chelo and decenty dismantled BESTIA in overtime on Dust2 shows that coach tacitus has this roster peaking at the exact right moment before the November 2 Major lock.



















